Monday, September 28, 2009

Lesson to learn...and to learn early in the season

Every season in fantasy football, I overanalyze my starters and their matchups for the week. In week 2, I was mulling over which QB to start; Kurt Warner v. Colts (who played 45 mins of defense against Dolphins in MNF in week 1) or Joe Flacco v. Browns (who just plainly stink). I originally went with the better MATCHUP with Flacco, instead of Warner who I originally drafted to assume my team's position of starting QB week in and week out. However, when I woke up an hour before the 10am kickoff, I had the overanalysis jones kicking in. I found Roland online and I consulted him for advice. He advised me to "always start your original starter." He is in the philosophy that you must start your #1 QB no matter the matchup, unless hurt of course. So I gave into his advice and changed my starting QB Flacco to Warner. Boy, did I pay the price. Although Warner threw over 330 yards, he threw only 1 td and threw for 2 ints. Meanwhile, Flacco threw only 1 td, however threw for over 320 yards WITHOUT turning over the ball. This cost me the difference of 6 solid points. After the conclusion of MNF, my opponent beat me with Felix Jones by a difference of 2 points. OUCH. In conclusion, I came to the philosophy that, 1) Do not overthink your original starter of course, and 2) ALWAYS (ok...maybe not always, but in my opinion, most of the time) go with the more favorable matchup. It is a lesson I'm glad to have learned early in the season. Hopefully, this loss won't bite me in the ass during the playoff stretch.

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